Prices in the Russian pork and chicken set a record

The price of pork to the 8th of September in Russia established historical record because of the response "food" sanctions.

According to the IMIT, the cost of pig half carcasses categories 1 and 2 to 8 September 2014 reached 188 rubles, which is 55% more than the price on the same date in 2013. This trend runs counter to the usual autumn decline in demand for meat and the cost of pork in September, analysts say. President of the National Meat Association (NMA) Sergei Yushin, in turn, confirmed that the wholesale price of a kilo of pork half-carcasses reached almost 190 rubles.

«Russian embargo on food imports from countries that have implemented" anti-Russian sanctions, "the shortfalls pork directly on the Russian market, which existed since the introduction of the ban imports from the EU because of trouble in several countries on the African swine fever (ASF)", - explained ITAR-TASS Sergey Chernyshev analyst IMIT.

As calculated in the IA, in 2014, Russia will be able to buy only half of the imports of pork, which entered the country in 2013. It affected the economic embargo against the EU, USA, Australia and Canada, introduced from August 7, and a ban on pork imports from the EU in the winter of this year because of the ASF, is also considered in the association. "Brazil and China will not be able to fully replace departed from the market volume of pork that came from sanctions countries", - said Yushin.

The Fall of imports already reflected in the customs statistics. According to the latest data of the FCS, pork imports to Russia in August 2014 fell by nearly 45% to $ 115 million against August 2013, the supply of poultry meat - 39% to $ 33 million. Only beef imports of all products "of sanctions" group increased compared to August 2013 - nearly 47% to $ 257 ​​million.

Both experts noted that Brazil, becoming the main alternative supplier of pork to Russia in the new conditions, increased export prices of this type of meat to a historic high. "In this regard, in the short term, the Russian market is expected to continue to maintain a high level of prices for this type of meat", - concluded Chernyshev.

If this deficit and rise in pork prices push prices for chicken meat, because meat processors use it as an alternative in the production, experts say. By 8 September, the average wholesale price of broiler carcass 1 categories established historical record of 112.8 rubles per kg, which is 50% higher with respect to the data in 2013.

However, the sharp increase in the wholesale cost of pork and chicken is not translated into retail. According to the Federal State Statistics Service, the average price of all kinds of meat (including chicken) in August 2014 increased by 13.8% compared to the same month of 2013. According to the latest monitoring food prices for September 2-8 2014, chicken meat during this period went up by 1% relative to the price level in the week from August 25 to September 1, pork - by 0.8% (versus 0.6%) .

This disparity in the wholesale and retail meat prices in Russia could lead to loss of processing enterprises, said earlier ITAR-TASS president of the Russian Meat Union Moushegh Mamikonian. "At a time when meat companies can not raise the price of the final product, for them it's big enough damage," - he said.

However, the Yushin believes that further growth will restrain the decreased cost in retail demand for meat products. "We came up against the ceiling. Customers refusing sausage and meat, impede further development of prices, "- he said to ITAR-TASS. According to Yushin, the wholesale price of pork will not rise more than 210 rubles per kg carcass side.

Source: agroxxi.ru